Post by toledo on Oct 21, 2012 20:30:54 GMT
Maybe I'm reading this table wrong, but the chances of death seems a little high to me...
As I read it, to get to adulthood every child must survive;
17-18 rolls at 12% for automatic death [1% base + 1% + 10% winter from birth to age 4] and 52-53 rolls at 2% [non winter months and after 4].
Statistically this implies that every child should have died at least 3/4 times before age 7
....but then added to the child can also die from illness (and there is a separate injury table increases the chances of illness).
For both categories there are 5 rolls at 18%, 5 rolls at 17%, and 7/8 rolls at 15% with the remaining 52/53 rolls being at 5,7 or 8%.
For illness I think this implies that you can expect a child to be ill roughly 6/7 times with each time exposing the child to a further 5% chance of death (and only a 5% chance of recovery)
Added to this I get the impression the three roles are separate - further boosting the likelihood that the child will find itself towards the slippery slope.
Considering that the base rate for a birth is 2% per chronum (1% base + 1% mother under 30), the way I read this is that having an apothecary is a must....but even that won't protect against the 70 rolls of automatic death.
....don't suppose the "Wet Nurse guild" are offering any minor characters are they?!
As I read it, to get to adulthood every child must survive;
17-18 rolls at 12% for automatic death [1% base + 1% + 10% winter from birth to age 4] and 52-53 rolls at 2% [non winter months and after 4].
Statistically this implies that every child should have died at least 3/4 times before age 7
....but then added to the child can also die from illness (and there is a separate injury table increases the chances of illness).
For both categories there are 5 rolls at 18%, 5 rolls at 17%, and 7/8 rolls at 15% with the remaining 52/53 rolls being at 5,7 or 8%.
For illness I think this implies that you can expect a child to be ill roughly 6/7 times with each time exposing the child to a further 5% chance of death (and only a 5% chance of recovery)
Added to this I get the impression the three roles are separate - further boosting the likelihood that the child will find itself towards the slippery slope.
Considering that the base rate for a birth is 2% per chronum (1% base + 1% mother under 30), the way I read this is that having an apothecary is a must....but even that won't protect against the 70 rolls of automatic death.
....don't suppose the "Wet Nurse guild" are offering any minor characters are they?!
